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Sunday February 5th 2012

Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide: Week 12, Huge Heterosexuals Edition

This is your weekly NFL betting guide written by the rubiest rube of all rubes, Nonpopulist. I have been making my own NFL lines since 2005, and while I am no expert I would rate myself as an above average prognosticator/ handicapper. The Rubetastic post will be a mixture of picking against Vegas lines, insight into why I think a line was set a certain way, what my own lines are and how I came to those lines, overall NFL betting trends I notice, apologies about being completely wrong the prior week, and a disclaimer that the post is all for fun and you assume all risk when betting on the advice of some jackhole on the internet.

Right back up in your mofuggin ass, down south flavor. I’m writing this post on Four Loko so forgive if it messes with your world a lil’ bit. It’s a holiday week, and this will be my second post for The Gally Blog while I have yet to update my own blog so we’ll keep this week short. Let’s look back at last week.

Baltimore -10.5 @ Carolina: RIGHT. Carolina’s in shambles. The Ravens didn’t have far to travel for this game. I knew even as high as this line was it looked good.

Washington @ Tennessee -7: WRONG. Never bet on your favorite team. The Titans are my favorite team. I justify that by saying I didn’t actually bet on my team, but advised it. How was I suppose to know Vince Young was going to be unable to hide

Atlanta -3 @ St. Louis: RIGHT. This line looked low. Atlanta has been considered one of the best teams in the league. Hmmmm… you do the geomotry.

New York Giants +3 @ Philadelphia: WRONG. I guess Philly is for real. New York looks to be on a late season downtrend as their running game can’t even wipe themselves and almost all of their receivers are hurt. Sorry Logic.
Cheerleader and then this week’s picks:

I started reading the book Lay the Favorite by Beth Raymer. The book is a great narrative about sports betting. It’s story-driven, but still includes some great betting information. I’m 60 pages in and I give it the Nonpopulist seal of approval. This week’s picks.

New Orleans -3.5 @ Dallas: Both teams are on a short week. Dallas is bound to be more apt to lose a game after the initial success from changing coaches and players realizing they have to actually play football well in order to keep their jobs. I side with a more established team coaching-wise on a short week. No brainer.

Green Bay +2 @ Atlanta: Atlanta has been mentioned as one of the best teams in the NFL, but Green Bay is better. I like this line. I like it to be a close game, but any line 2.5 or under is a pick ‘em game. I pick Green Bay to win and beat the spread. The Packers have the ability to blow the Falcons out too. They will love playing in a dome in the south and getting a break from the cold as well. The Packer’s defense is lighting up chumps, knocking out suckers, smoking fools, and talking noise about it this year. They’ve fired 2 coaches this year. Respect them.

San Fransisco -1 @ Arizona: This line is money in the bank. The Niners do not have far to travel and have flourished with Troy Smith as quarterback. I like the 49ers in this game a lot. I would put an above average bet on this game.

I’m 21-15-3 on the year in these picks. I’m stepping my game up. Oh, this is the huge heterosexuals edition because my buddy Dan said that earlier, and I thought it was funny. I thought it was funny because we are both huge heterosexuals.

Sexy Disclaimer: This post is intended for entertainment purposes only. You assume all of your own risk when placing a bet either legal or illegal. Neither The Gally Blog nor the author assume any risk for any bets placed on advice or content contained in this post or on this blog.

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Related posts:

  1. Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide: Week 9, I Suck Edition
  2. Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide: Week 13, Buxom Edition
  3. Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide: Week 10

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