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Friday January 6th 2012

Rubetastic: Super Bowl Betting Extravaganza with Prop Bets

This is your weekly NFL betting guide written by the rubiest rube of all rubes, Nonpopulist. I have been making my own NFL lines since 2005, and while I am no expert I would rate myself as an above average prognosticator/ handicapper. The Rubetastic post will be a mixture of picking against Vegas lines, insight into why I think a line was set a certain way, what my own lines are and how I came to those lines, overall NFL betting trends I notice, apologies about being completely wrong the prior week, and a disclaimer that the post is all for fun and you assume all risk when betting on the advice of some jackhole on the internet.

Super Bowl week! It’s the most wonderful time of year! So magical. Sports writers and television personalities regale us with tales of weather, hotel continental breakfasts, and other stories central to the actual game.
Let’s look back quickly at my Championship game picks.

Green Bay -3.5 @ Chicago: RIGHT. I don’t think the score would have been all that different if Cutler had been able to play the whole game. The Packers may have even won by more than they did. Green Bay was just top-down a better team. Clay Matthews disease gives him super human powers that are hard to contain.

New York Jets + 3.5 @ Pittsburgh Steelers: WRONG. I don’t quite know what to say about this pick. I was less confident in it, but I thought the Jets defense would make the difference in this game. The game was too big for the Jets. Their play didn’t live up to their gameplan either.
On to the extravaganza!

Since neither team has cheerleaders I picked one of my favorites from this past NFL season.

One of the most interesting aspects of the Super Bowl is all of the prop bets. You can place bets on whether the coin toss lands on heads or tails (which I have bet on before), the over/under on the length of the national anthem, who will win the MVP and a host of other ways you can lose money. Go here for a complete list of action, but I’ll be highlighting some below plus picking against the actual spread as usual.

How Long will it take Christina Aguilera to Sing the Star Spangled Banner (from starting note to last note sung) Under/Over 1:54: I know what you’re thinking, suckers bet, right? There’s money to be made here. I looked up videos of Aguilera on Youtube singing the national anthem. I saw some over a minute and fifty-four seconds and some under. I tended toward more recent performances and I’m sold on the under on this one. I think she’ll embellish a little less than in her performances at the NBA Finals. Well, I should say the NFL event people will gently suggest she embellish less. This should be a classier performance since it will likely be one of the most watched things on television ever. It’s not about you, X-tina.

More after the jump—-

What Will The Over/Under TV Rating Be Over/Under 46. If I were actually able to bet legally I would take the over no doubt, 100%. The only factor in this to me is the power outages across the country. There’s still a few days for more people to get back online. I think this will be the most watched Super Bowl in history, easily over 46 Nielsen Rating.

Steelers vs Packers – First Score of the Game will be Touchdown or any other score: Bet on touchdown.

Will there be a Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown- Yes or no: Yes, so yes.

Will One Quarter be Scoreless – 1 Quarter will have 0 – 0 Score (Overtime Quarters Count) Yes or no: This is a ballsy bet, but I say yes. The Super Bowl always seems to move quickly. I think either the first or second quarter will be scoreless.

I could do a lot more, but I’m going to be horribly wrong on all these already.

And now to the actual spread…

Pittsburgh Steelers +3 @ Green Bay Packers: I’m flip flopping a bit here because I said on the first ever Gally Blog Podcast last night that I predicted the final score to be Green Bay 27- Pittsburgh 21. The more I have thought about it the more I like the Steelers in this game. I think in the back of my mind I knew I was going to take the underdog the whole time.

Sexy Disclaimer: This post is intended for entertainment purposes only. You assume all of your own risk when placing a bet either legal or illegal. Neither The Gally Blog nor the author assume any risk for any bets placed on advice or content contained in this post or on this blog.

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Related posts:

  1. Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide: Week 12, Huge Heterosexuals Edition
  2. Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide- The Championship Round Is Tight Like a Sex Euphemism
  3. Rubetastic: The Gally Blog NFL Betting Guide- Divisional Round Playoff Picks Guaranteed to Lose

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